Friday, December 31, 2010

Dec.. 31 - new year eve fireworks cities from the globe music by Mar Jawaan 2010 2011‏

Dear Friends,

May you ALL have a peaceful, prosperous and healthy 2011!

Be Well.


Dec. 31 - Global Cooling Consensus Is Heating Up – Cooling Over The Next 1 To 3 Decades‏

Dear Friends,

Click the link to access the links.

Be Well.


Global Cooling Consensus Is Heating Up – Cooling Over The Next 1 To 3 Decades

As winters get harsher and the snow piles up, more and more scientists are now warning of global cooling. Reader Matt Vooro has compiled a list (see below) of 31 prominent scientists and researchers who have words that governments ought to start heeding.

Cooling seems to be the trend. Photo source: NOAA.

Lately, the clueless among warmist scientists, governments and the MSM have been running around in deep snow with their global warming blinders on, denying the cold around them. Governments, entrusted to serve the citizens, really ought to start listening up and planning accordingly.


Are we headed for global warming or cooling?

By Matt Vooro

For many years now a good number of non-AGW scientists, meteorologists, engineers, researchers and the like have looked at the possibilities of a cooling planet. I enclose some of the ones that I have noted in my research. Indeed there is a significant number of scientists, academics, meteorologists and researchers who disagree with IPCC’s belief that the globe is very likely headed for unprecedented global warming due to man-made greenhouse gases.

The climate of this planet oscillates between periods of approximately 30 years of warming followed by approximately 30 years of cooling. Rather than 100 years of unprecedented global warming as predicted by IPCC, the global temperatures have leveled off and we seem to be heading for cooler weather.

Lawrence Solomon in his article of 16 June, 2010 in the Toronto National Post commented on Professor Mike Hulme’s article about IPCC. The article can be found here at Hulme is a Professor of Climate Change in the School of Environmental Sciences at the University of East Anglia – the university of Climategate fame — is the founding Director of the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research and one of the UK’s most prominent climate scientists. Quoting Hulme, Solomon said:

The UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change misled the press and public into believing that thousands of scientists backed its claims on manmade global warming, according to Mike Hulme, a prominent climate scientist and IPCC insider. The actual number of scientists who backed that claim was “only a few dozen experts” he states in a paper for Progress in Physical Geography, co-authored with student Martin Mahony.”

Professor Hulme’s paper can be found at fabiusmaximus

It would appear that IPCC underestimated the repetitive and significant impact of normal planetary cycles like the PDO, AO, AMO, NAO, ENSO, DEEP OCEAN CURRENTS [MOC], SOLAR CYCLES and UNEXPECTED PERIODS OF VOLCANIC ASH.

This is understandable as IPCC never had a mandate to study all causes of global warming but only the man induced component which seems to be dwarfed by natural planetary factors, which other scientists are now finding out. Read

Here is a list of 31 different international climate scientists, academics, meteorologists, climate researchers and engineers who have researched this topic and who disagree with AGW science and IPCC forecasts, and are projecting much cooler weather for the next 1-3 decades.

    The List

1. Don Easterbrook, Professor Emeritus, Dept. of Geology, Western Washington University.

Setting up of the PDO cold phase assures global cooling for next approx. 30 years. Global warming is over. Expect 30 years of global cooling, perhaps severe 2-5°F.”

He predicts several possible cooling scenarios: The first is similar to 1945-1977 trends, the second is similar to 1880-1915 trends and the third is similar to 1790-1820 trends. His latest article states:

Expect global cooling for the next 2-3 decades that will be far more damaging than global warming would have been.”

Read here, here and here.

2. Syun Akasofu, Professor of Geophysics, Emeritus, University of Alaska, also founding director of ARC
He predicts the current pattern of temperature increase of 0.5C /100 years resulting from natural causes will continue with alternating cooling as well as warming phases. He shows cooling for the next cycle until about 2030/ 2040.

And again a new paper ON THE RECOVERY FROM LITTLE ICE AGE - Read here.

3. Prof. Mojib Latif, Professor, Kiel University, Germany
He makes a prediction for one decade only, namely the next decade [2009-2019] and he basically shows the global average temperatures will decline to a range of about 14.18 C to 14.28 C from 14.39 C [eyeballing his graphs].

He also said that “you may well enter a decade or two of cooling relative to the present temperature level”, however he did not indicate when any two decades of cooling would happen or whether the second decade after the next decade will also be cooling. Read here and here.

4. Dr. Noel Keenlyside from the Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences at Kiel University. The BBC writes:

The Earth’s temperature may stay roughly the same for a decade, as natural climate cycles enter a cooling phase, scientists have predicted.”

A new computer model developed by German researchers, reported in the journal Nature, suggests the cooling will counter greenhouse warming.”

Read here

5. Professor Anastasios Tsonis, Head of Atmospheric Sciences Group University of Wisconsin, and Dr. Kyle Swanson of the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee. msnbc writes:

We have such a change now and can therefore expect 20 -30 years of cooler temperatures”

This is nothing like anything we’ve seen since 1950,”

Kyle Swanson of the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee said. “Cooling events since then had firm causes, like eruptions or large-magnitude La Ninas. This current cooling doesn’t have one.”

Swanson thinks the trend could continue for up to 30 years.”

Also read The mini ice age starts here at

6. William M Gray, Professor Emeritus, Dept of Atmospheric Sciences, Colorado State University

A weak global cooling began from the mid-1940’s and lasted until mid-1970’s. I predict this is what we will see in the next few decades.”


7. Henrik Svensmark , Professor DTU, Copenhagen. Henrik Svensmark writes:

Indeed, global warming stopped and a cooling is beginning. No climate model has predicted a cooling of the Earth, on the contrary. This means that projections of future climate is unpredictable.”

Read here.

8. Jarl R. Ahlbeck, D.Sc., AboAkademi University, Finland

Therefore, prolonged low solar activity periods in the future may cause the domination of a strongly negative AO and extremely cold winters in North America, Europe and Russia.”

Read here.

9. Dr. Alexander Frolov, Head of Russia’s state meteorological service Rosgidromet. The Daily quotes Frolov:

‘From the scientific point of view, in terms of large scale climate cycles, we are in a period of cooling.

‘The last three years of low temperatures in Siberia, the Arctic and number of Russia mountainous regions prove that, as does the recovery of ice in the Arctic Ocean and the absence of warming signs in Siberia.”

And writes:

Mr. Tishkov, deputy head of the Geography Institute at Russian Academy of Science, said: ‘What we have been watching recently is comparatively fast changes of climate to warming, but within the framework of an overall long-term period of cooling. This is a proven scientific fact’.”

10. Mike Lockwood, Professor of Space Environmental Physics, University of Reading, UK. Read BBC News here:

The UK and continental Europe could be gripped by more frequent cold winters in the future as a result of low solar activity, say researchers.”

11. Dr. Oleg Pokrovsky, Voeikov Main Geophysical Observatory: Ria Novosti writes:

There isn’t going to be an ice age, but temperatures will drop to levels last seen in the 1950s and 1960s.

Right now all components of the climate system are entering a negative phase. The cooling will reach it’s peak in 15 years. Politicians who have geared up for warming are sitting on the wrong horse.

The Northeast Passage will freeze over and will be passable only with icebreakers.”

Pokrovsky also claims that the IPCC, which has prophesized global warming, has ignored many factors. He also noted that most American weather stations are located in cities where temperatures are always higher.

We don’t know everything that’s happening. The climate system is very complex and the IPCC is not the final truth on the matter.”

Read here NoTricksZone.

12. Girma Orssengo, b.Tech, MASc, PhD

These cool and warm PDO regimes correlate well with the cooling and warming phases of GMTA shown in Figure 3.

The model in Figure 3 predicts global cooling until 2030. This result is also supported by shifts in PDO that occurred at the end of the last century, which is expected to result in global cooling until about 2030 [7].”

Read WUWT and read here, and

In this article, a mathematical model was developed that agrees with observed Global Mean Temperature Anomaly(GMTA), and its prediction shows global cooling by about 0.42 deg C until 2030. Also, comparison of observed increase in human emission of CO2 with increase in GMTA during the 20th century shows no relationship between the two. As a result, the claim by the IPCC of climate catastrophe is not supported by the data.”

‘Fossil fuels allowed man to live his life as a proud human, but the IPCC asserts its use causes catastrophic.’ “

Read here at WUWT.

13. Nicola Scafetta, PhD.
Empirical evidence for a celestial origin of the climate oscillations and its implications

The partial forecast indicates that climate may stabilize or cool until 2030-2040.”

Read here

14. Dr William Livingston, astronomer & solar physicist; and 15. Dr Matthew Penn – astronomer & solar physicist

Astronomers Dr. William Livingston and Dr. Matthew Penn and a large number of solar physicists would say that now the likelihood of the Earth being seized by Maunder Minimum is now greater than the Earth being seized by a period of global warming.”

Read here:

16. Joe d’Aleo – Executive Director of Certified Consultant Meteorologists. Read here:

Longer term the sun is behaving like it did in the last 1700s and early 1800s, leading many to believe we are likely to experience conditions more like the early 1800s (called the Dalton Minimum) in the next few decades. That was a time of cold and snow. It was the time of Charles Dickens and his novels with snow and cold in London.”

Also see various other articles about Global Cooling under ICE AGE at Ice Cap

17. Harry van Loon, Emeritus at NCAR and CORA, 18. Roland Madden, Senior scientist at NOAA, Deputy Head of Climate analysis, 19. Dave Melita, Head Meteorologist at Melita Weather Associates, and 20. William M Gray, Professor Emeritus, Dept of Atmospheric Sciences, Colorado State University
These scientists came to the same conclusions— the global warming trend is done, and a cooling trend is about to kick in.

Read here!

21. Dr. David Archibald, Australia, environmental scientist:

In this presentation, I will demonstrate that the Sun drives climate, and use that demonstrated relationship to predict the Earth’s climate to 2030. It is a prediction that differs from most in the public domain. It is a prediction of imminent cooling.”

See Warwick Hughes and David Archibald

22. Dr Habibullo Abdussamatov, Head of Space Research, Lab of Pulkov Observatory. See

In his presentation called The Sun Dictates the Climate, he indicated that there would be an ice age kind of temperatures in the middle of the 21st century. He showed a graph called The forecast of the natural climate change for the nearest 100 years and it showed the globa temperatures dropping by more than 1°C by 2055. According to him, a new ice age could start by 2014.”

And read here.

23. Dr Fred Goldberg, Swedish climate expert. People Daily:

We could have an ice age any time, says Swedish climate expert.”

and read: We could have an ice age any time, says Swedish climate expert

24. Dr. George Kukla, a member of the Czechoslovakian Academy of Sciences and a pioneer in the field of astronomical forcing, Read Ice Age Now:

In the 1970s, leading scientists claimed that the world was threatened by an era of global cooling.

Based on what we’ve learned this decade, says George Kukla, those scientists – and he was among them — had it right. The world is about to enter another Ice Age.”

25. Peter Clark, Professor of Geosciences at OSU: Read

Sometime around now, scientists say, the Earth should be changing from a long interglacial period that has lasted the past 10,000 years and shifting back towards conditions that will ultimately lead to another ice age.”

26. James Overland, NOAA. Read

‘Cold and snowy winters will be the rule rather than the exception,’ said James Overland of the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.”

27. Dr. Theodore Landscheidt. Predicted in 2003 that the current cooling would continue until 2030 [Read here]:

Analysis of the sun’s varying activity in the last two millennia indicates that contrary to the IPCC’s speculation about man-made global warming as high as 5.8°C within the next hundred years, a long period of cool climate with its coldest phase around 2030 is to be expected.”

28. Matt Vooro, P. Eng. The

We seem to be in the same climate cycle that we were back in 1964-1976.The last two winters [2008, 2009] have been very similar to those we had back then with all the extra snow and cold temperatures. Once the extra warming effect of the current 2009/2010 El Nino is finished, watch for colder temperatures to return due to the impact of the negative PDO, AMO, AO, NAO, ENSO/La Nina, major volcanic ash and changing solar cycles.”

Good source of articles and data on global cooling, see:

29. Thomas Globig, Meteorologist, Meteo Media weather service. Read here at WUWT:

‘The expected cold for the next month will bring this down significantly by year end. ‘The year 2010 will be the coldest for ten years in Germany,’ said Thomas Globig from the weather service Meteo Media talking to And it might even get worse: ‘It is quite possible that we are at the beginning of a Little Ice Age,’ the meteorologist said. Even the Arctic ice could spread further to the south.”

30. Piers Corbyn, Astrophysicist. From

Predicting in November that winter in Europe would be “exceptionally cold and snowy, like Hell frozen over at times,” Corbyn suggested we should sooner prepare for another Ice Age than worry about global warming. Corbyn believed global warming “is complete nonsense, it’s fiction, it comes from a cult ideology. There’s no science in there, no facts to back [it] up.”

31. Dr. Karsten Brandt, Director of weather service.

It is even very probable that we will not only experience a very cold winter, but also in the coming 10 years every second winter will be too cold. Only 2 of 10 will be mild.

Read here.

32. Joe Bastardi – Accuweather meteorologist and hundreds of other meteorologists (i.e. expert forecasters who outperform climatologists hands-down in seasonal forecasting).

Other global cooling articles:
John Holdren Ice Age Likely

BBC News

Global Warming Debunked

Star Tribune


25 responses to “Global Cooling Consensus Is Heating Up – Cooling Over The Next 1 To 3 Decades”

  1. Edward.

    You’ve been linked to James Delingpoles blog, er…it was not me!

    BTW, great article, lots of reading haven’t finished it yet!

    Thanks Matt.

  2. DirkH

    Great list. I’m betting on good old hydrocarbons and nuclear. Landscheidt was the man. Does Corbyn use a Landscheidt approach? I hope he someday opens up his methodology.

  3. Casper

    Warm winters have been abnormally. Now, this winter is going to be normal!

  4. mitchel44

    Are 12 and 29 the same person?

  5. Ed Caryl

    Let the cooling begin: of all the hotheads that were predicting global warming.

  6. John from CA

    Here’s another interesting thought.

    Given that the IPCC is NOT projecting adverse surface temperature scenarios until about 2060 (unless you wish to discard IPCC AR4 findings), all news media articles claiming a current correlation between weather events and AGW impacts should be dismissed as fiction.

    Scenarios: 2010-2030. Part I
    by Judith Curry

    “The IPCC AR4 projected a near term global average temperature increase of 0.2C per decade. Further, the AR4 showed an insensitivity of global average surface temperature to emission scenarios prior to about 2060.”

  7. Nonoy Oplas

    I made a brief survey of cooling in Asia, same pattern as in the northern hemisphere — China, Japan, S. Korea, HK, Taiwan, Vietnam, Thailand, Philippines, India,

  8. Jeff

    6 and 20 are the same guy

  9. R. de Haan

    I really don’t see on which theory the 10 year predictions are based.

    We have the negative PDO and upcoming negative AMO at our hands now and at least two weak solar cycles.

    That’s good for thirty years of cooling at least.

    Maybe more!

    Add retired geologist Fred Sauers to your list.

    Physicist Vladimir Paar

    Astronomer Emeritus Prof. Kees de Jager

  10. R. de Haan

    For all papers from Prof. Cees de Jager


    There is some evidence of global cooling not just in theory but also in the field as well.

    PDO has gone negative and cooling since Sept ember 2007
    AMO has peaked and has started its decline again since July 2010. It is anticipated to go negative or cooling by 2015?
    SOI has been high positive [around +20] since July [predicts cold weather 5-7 months later]
    AO and NAO are now more frequently at higher negative levels [AO had record monthly low of -4.266 in Feb 2010 and nearly -5 in DECEMBER 2010]
    Solar activity continues low at near minimum levels
    Most Global mean temperature anomaly data sets show recent dropping anomalies in 2010
    Ocean SST’S are dropping
    Ocean heat content rise has leveled off for the last 6 years [major decline in the North Atlantic Ocean heat content]
    Europe and Asia have had three cold winters in a row [new low record colds set 2010 in many regions]
    European annual temperature anomalies [land] have been dropping since 2007
    UK [CET] annual temperatures have been dropping since 2006[4years]
    UK Winter temperatures have been dropping since 2007[4 years]. Last two winters were record cold in UK
    North American annual temperatures have been cooling since 2006
    Canadian winters have been cooling since 2001[El Nino winter excluded]
    US had one of its worst winters in 2010
    2010 had the 2nd most snow extent for Northern Hemisphere since the1978/1979 winter
    No global warming for a decade now since 2001 per hadcrut3gl
    No statistically significant global warming since 1995 [per Prof Jones CRU]
    La NINA cooling for the next 1-2 years?
    Nino3.4 SST anomaly [-1.5 C]

  12. S.E. Hendriksen

    IPCC (Chapter 14,, Working Group 1, The Scientific Basis)

    Third Assessment Report:
    “In sum, a strategy must recognize what is possible. In climate research and modeling, we should recognize that we are dealing with a coupled nonlinear chaotic system, and therefore that long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.”

  13. dbeyat45

    No 30 and 31 contain some of the same text, exactly.

  14. Breakable

    Great stuff guys,
    when some denialist will point out than no one is arguing that there is no Global Warming, I will have have a list of idiots to point them to. And by the way I am certain that you are misrepresenting the position of most of the researches in this list, so please take a look at one that you can verify:

  15. Colin Henderson

    The new IPCC Scare:

    Rising CO2 levels (which act as a plant fertilizer) lead to accelerated plant growth and consequentially increased evapo-transpiraton. The resulting humidity translates into more cloud cover which blocks solar radiation causing global cooling. So we still need a CO2 tax ……………. to prevent global cooling ;)

  16. The New Ice Age « LIBERTY VIEW

    [...] reason I mention this is because they are warming up for another round of ice age mania. See that here. From now on I will try to give you the conservative view of everything because of that thing where [...]

  17. Joe Bastardi

    count me in too. Previewed triple crown of cooling on national TV 3 years ago and have been using it on all climate related interviews now

  18. Peter

    Sorry guys, most of this is just misinformation or wishful thinking. Go look at the stats – the planet is STILL warming, despite a quiet sun and strong La Nina. Oh, and by the way, Corbyn is no expert in either weather or climate. When are you guys going to get real? A couple of colder winters in parts of the northern hemisphere mean very little unless you are desperately searching for support for a sceptical stance on AGW.

    1. DirkH

      The moment the Met Office employees bet their own private money on their own long range forecasts AND make a profit i will be tempted to consider the possibility that the Met Office MIGHT know more about weather/climate than Corbyn.

      Until then, i am convinced that they, and the rest of the GCM modelers, are not capable of predicting future events beyond a time horizon of four days.

  19. R. de Haan

    Piers Corbyn, Weather Action
    You Can’t Say I Didn’t Warn You

  20. Mervyn Sullivan

    The 2009 report titled “Climate Change Reconsidered” by the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change effectively exposed huge volcanic size craters in the IPCC’s 4th Assessment Report. The IPCC’s Summary for Policy Makers was therefore biased, flawed, misleading, unscientific, politically motivated and was intentionally corrupted.

    “Climate Change Reconsidered” also demonstrated why that infamous statement… “the science is settled” was the most absurd unscientific overstatement ever made.

    If “the science is settled”, as the global warming alarmists would have everyone believe, then how do they explain why there are so many eminent scientists that do not subscribe to the IPCC’s mantra?

  21. Robinson

    Go look at the stats – the planet is STILL warming,

    Peter, did anything in that sentence strike you as being a little odd?


Dear Friends,

Click the link to read the whole article.

Be Well.


By William Thomas

Did Santa bring you an iPad? Or the latest cell phone with more menus than the Ritz? Maybe you scored one of those new ultra-long-range portable phones that can reach out for miles. Or even cooler, a little netbook with wireless online storage.

Welcome to the cull.

Even as the rise of Screen Culture dovetails perfectly with the Culture of Denial, Dr. Devra Davis, an environmental health specialist and author of Disconnect, calls the thickening invisible smog of wireless radiation "the most important and unrecognized public health issues of our time."

This MD warns of "a global catastrophe" unless we act to remove these radiation sources. "For such a risk to show up in cell phone users within 10 years given what we know about brain tumours, which is that they can have a latency of 40 years, is deeply, deeply disturbing," she says. [ Nov 9/10]

The Brain Cancer Pandemic is happening right now.

And there is an even bigger threat.

Thursday, December 30, 2010

Dec. 30 - UFO VIDEOS

TheUfoKidFresno | 29 de Dezembro de 2010
theufokidfresno KINGufokid ufoattacks UFO PICTURE TAKEN BY ROBERT THORSON REAL UFO REAL VIDEO FLYING SAUCER DISC SHAPE CRAFT shape shifting fresno ca THEMUFONMAN BACKED BEST ON VIDEO fresno ca.UNUSUAL PLANE LIGHTS OR UFO imposters LOOK CLOSE phoenix arizona LIGHTS arizona ufo triangle ovnis ufohunter friedman area51 secret air base ufotv mausson orb probe alien space ship craft flying saucer unknown best ever caught on tape demon paranormal lights ufohunter

Ilikewhatimseeing | 28 de Dezembro de 2010
I can think of about 10 reasons why I don't think this is a plane. Altitude, speed, shape, movement, lighting, trajectory, location, lack of sound, consistency and the fact that I watched planes for hours prior to this. I am glad to consider what you think as long as it comes with a detailed explanation.

cidmexico | 30 de Dezembro de 2010
Ayer grabé esto a las 7:15 de la mañana, desde la zona norte de la Ciudad de México. Lo que más me sorprendió es que modificó su velocidad de forma notable. Primero se desplazaba muy rápido, pero después se quedó fijo. Hasta me dio tiempo de cambiar de cámara. También noté que varió su morfología. Cuando ya no se movía era sólo una esfera. Lo vi por 15 minutos, después no supe qué pasó porque tuve que seguir con mis actividades. Supongo que se quedó en el mismo sitio por más tiempo.

Dec. 30 - Earth project aims to 'simulate everything'

Dear Friends,

You know were this is going...

Be Well.


Earth project aims to 'simulate everything'

The Earth The Living Earth Simulator will collect data from billions of sources

Related stories

It could be one of the most ambitious computer projects ever conceived.

An international group of scientists are aiming to create a simulator that can replicate everything happening on Earth - from global weather patterns and the spread of diseases to international financial transactions or congestion on Milton Keynes' roads.

Nicknamed the Living Earth Simulator (LES), the project aims to advance the scientific understanding of what is taking place on the planet, encapsulating the human actions that shape societies and the environmental forces that define the physical world.

"Many problems we have today - including social and economic instabilities, wars, disease spreading - are related to human behaviour, but there is apparently a serious lack of understanding regarding how society and the economy work," says Dr Helbing, of the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, who chairs the FuturICT project which aims to create the simulator.

Knowledge collider

Thanks to projects such as the Large Hadron Collider, the particle accelerator built by Cern, scientists know more about the early universe than they do about our own planet, claims Dr Helbing.

What is needed is a knowledge accelerator, to collide different branches of knowledge, he says.

"Revealing the hidden laws and processes underlying societies constitutes the most pressing scientific grand challenge of our century."

The result would be the LES. It would be able to predict the spread of infectious diseases, such as Swine Flu, identify methods for tackling climate change or even spot the inklings of an impending financial crisis, he says.

Large Hadron Collider Is it possible to build a social science equivalent to the Large Hadron Collider?

But how would such colossal system work?

For a start it would need to be populated by data - lots of it - covering the entire gamut of activity on the planet, says Dr Helbing.

It would also be powered by an assembly of yet-to-be-built supercomputers capable of carrying out number-crunching on a mammoth scale.

Although the hardware has not yet been built, much of the data is already being generated, he says.

For example, the Planetary Skin project, led by US space agency Nasa, will see the creation of a vast sensor network collecting climate data from air, land, sea and space.

In addition, Dr Helbing and his team have already identified more than 70 online data sources they believe can be used including Wikipedia, Google Maps and the UK government's data repository

Drowning in data

Integrating such real-time data feeds with millions of other sources of data - from financial markets and medical records to social media - would ultimately power the simulator, says Dr Helbing.

The next step is create a framework to turn that morass of data in to models that accurately replicate what is taken place on Earth today.

Start Quote

We don't take any action on the information we have”

End Quote Pete Warden OpenHeatMaps

That will only be possible by bringing together social scientists and computer scientists and engineers to establish the rules that will define how the LES operates.

Such work cannot be left to traditional social science researchers, where typically years of work produces limited volumes of data, argues Dr Helbing.

Nor is it something that could have been achieved before - the technology needed to run the LES will only become available in the coming decade, he adds.

Human behaviour

For example, while the LES will need to be able to assimilate vast oceans of data it will simultaneously have to understand what that data means.

That becomes possible as so-called semantic web technologies mature, says Dr Helbing.

Today, a database chock-full of air pollution data would look much the same to a computer as a database of global banking transactions - essentially just a lot of numbers.

But semantic web technology will encode a description of data alongside the data itself, enabling computers to understand the data in context.

What's more, our approach to aggregating data stresses the need to strip out any of that information that relates directly to an individual, says Dr Helbing.

Crowd wearing face masks The Living Earth Simulator aims to predict how diseases spread

That will enable the LES to incorporate vast amounts of data relating to human activity, without compromising people's privacy, he argues.

Once an approach to carrying out large-scale social and economic data is agreed upon, it will be necessary to build supercomputer centres needed to crunch that data and produce the simulation of the Earth, says Dr Helbing.

Generating the computational power to deal with the amount of data needed to populate the LES represents a significant challenge, but it's far from being a showstopper.

If you look at the data-processing capacity of Google, it's clear that the LES won't be held back by processing capacity, says Pete Warden, founder of the OpenHeatMap project and a specialist on data analysis.

While Google is somewhat secretive about the amount of data it can process, in May 2010 it was believed to use in the region of 39,000 servers to process an exabyte of data per month - that's enough data to fill 2 billion CDs every month.

Reality mining

If you accept that only a fraction of the "several hundred exabytes of data being produced worldwide every year… would be useful for a world simulation, the bottleneck won't be the processing capacity," says Mr Warden.

"Getting access to the data will be much more of a challenge, as will figuring out something useful to do with it," he adds.

Simply having lots of data isn't enough to build a credible simulation of the planet, argues Warden. "Economics and sociology have consistently failed to produce theories with strong predictive powers over the last century, despite lots of data gathering. I'm sceptical that larger data sets will mark a big change," he says.

"It's not that we don't know enough about a lot of the problems the world faces, from climate change to extreme poverty, it's that we don't take any action on the information we do have," he argues.

Regardless of the challenges the project faces, the greater danger is not attempting to use the computer tools we have now - and will have in future - to improve our understanding of global socio-economic trends, says Dr Helbing.

"Over the past years, it has for example become obvious that we need better indicators than the gross national product to judge societal development and well-being," he argues.

At it's heart, the LES is about working towards better methods to measure the state of society, he says, which would account for health, education and environmental issues. "And last but not least, happiness."

More on This Story

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Click upon the circle after the small square for captions


How to Digitally Record/Video a UFO sighting:

Como registar digitalmente ou gravar um vídeo de um avistamento de um UFO:

Stabilize the camera on a tripod. If there is no tripod, then set it on top of a stable, flat surface. If that is not possible lean against a wall to stabilize your body and prevent the camera from filming in a shaky, unsteady manner.

Estabilize a camera com um tripé. Se não tiver um tripé, então coloque-a em cima de uma superfície estável. Se não for possível, então encoste-se a uma parede para estabilizar o corpo e evitar que a camera registe de maneira tremida e instável.

Provide visual reference points for comparison. This includes the horizon, treetops, lampposts, houses, and geographical landmarks (i.e., Horsetooth Reservoir, Mt. Adams, etc.) Provide this in the video whenever is appropriate and doesn’t detract from what your focus is, the UFO.

Forneça pontos visuais de referência para comparação. Isso inclui o horizonte, cimo das árvores, postes de iluminação, pontos de referência geográficos (como o Reservatório de Horsetooth, Mone Adams, etc) Forneça esses pontos no vídeo sempre que for apropriado e não se distraia do que é o seu foco, o UFO/a Nave.

Narrate your videotape. Provide details of the date, time, location, and direction (N,S,E,W) you are looking in. Provide your observations on the weather, including approximate temperature, windspeed, any visible cloud cover or noticeable weather anomalies or events. Narrate on the shape, size, color, movements, approximate altitude of the UFO, etc and what it appears to be doing. Also include any unusual physical, psychological or emotional sensations you might have. Narrate any visual reference points on camera so they correlate with what the viewer will see, and thereby will be better able to understand.

Faça a narração do vídeo. Forneça pormenores sobre a data, hora, local e direcção (Norte, Sul, Este, Oeste) que está a observar. Faça observações sobre as condições atmosféricas, incluindo a temperatura aproximada, velocidade do vento, quantidade de nuvens, anomalias ou acontecimentos meteorológicos evidentes. Descreva a forma, o tamanho, a cor, os movimentos, a altitude aproximada onde se encontra o UFO/nave, etc e o que aparenta estar a fazer. Inclua também quaisquer aspectos pouco habituais de sensações físicas, psicológicas ou emocionais que possa ter. Faça a narração de todos os pontos de referência visual que o espectador irá ver e que, deste modo, será capaz de compreender melhor.

Be persistent and consistent. Return to the scene to videotape and record at this same location. If you have been successful once, the UFO sightings may be occurring in this region regularly, perhaps for specific reasons unknown, and you may be successful again. You may also wish to return to the same location at a different time of day (daylight hours) for better orientation and reference. Film just a minute or two under “normal” circumstances for comparison. Write down what you remember immediately after. As soon as you are done recording the experience/event, immediately write down your impressions, memories, thoughts, emotions, etc. so it is on the record in writing. If there were other witnesses, have them independently record their own impressions, thoughts, etc. Include in this exercise any drawings, sketches, or diagrams. Make sure you date and sign your documentation.

Seja persistente e não contraditório. Volte ao local da cena e registe o mesmo local. Se foi bem sucedido uma vez, pode ser que nessa região ocorram avistamentos de UFOs/naves com regularidade, talvez por razões específicas desconhecidas, e talvez possa ser novamente bem sucedido. Pode também desejar voltar ao mesmo lugar a horas diferentes do dia (durante as horas de luz)para ter uma orientação e referência melhor. Filme apenas um ,inuto ou dois em circunstâncias “normais” para ter um termo de comparação. Escreva tudo o que viu imediatamente após o acontecimento. Logo após ter feito o registo da experiência/acontecimento, escreva imediatamente as impressões, memórias, pensamentos, emoções, etc para que fiquem registadas por escrito. Se houver outras testemunhas, peça-lhes para registar independentemente as suas próprias impressões, pensamentos, etc. Inclua quaisquer desenhos, esbolos, diagramas. Certifique-se que data e assina o seu documento/testemunho.

Always be prepared. Have a digital camera or better yet a video camera with you, charged and ready to go, at all times. Make sure you know how to use your camera (and your cell phone video/photo camera) quickly and properly. These events can occur suddenly, unexpectedly, and often quite randomly, so you will need to be prepared.

Esteja sempre preparado, Tenha sempre uma camera digital, melhor ainda, uma camera vídeo consigo, carregada e pronta a usar sempre que necessário. Certifique-se que sabe como lidar com a sua camera (ou com o seu celular/camera fotográfica) rápida e adequadamente. Esses acontecimentos podem acontecer súbita e inesperadamente e, por vezes, acidentalmente, por isso, necessita estar preparado.

Look up. Be prepared. Report. Share.

Olhe para cima, Esteja preparado, Relate, Partilhe.



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What time is Around the World?


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NGC - UFO's in EUROPE (Porugal included)

FEBRUARY 7, 2013 - 7:00PM EST

FEBRUARY 7, 2013 - 7:00PM EST